Polymarket traders cut Clarity Act passage odds to record low as Senate delay drags on

Polymarket traders have lowered the odds of the CLARITY Act passing this year to a record low of 32%, down from a high of 82% in February, as Senate negotiations over ethics provisions remain unresolved. The delay reflects growing skepticism that Congress can secure the bipartisan support needed to advance the landmark crypto market structure legislation before the end of 2025. Industry executives continue to urge passage, arguing clear regulatory jurisdiction would reduce uncertainty and bring crypto activity onshore.